Ares Capital Valuation

ARCC Stock  USD 19.48  0.17  0.88%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Ares Capital shows a prevailing Real Value of $20.98 per share. The current price of the firm is $19.48. Our model approximates the value of Ares Capital from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.43 %, and Return On Equity of 0.0939 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Ares Capital's valuation include:
Price Book
0.9769
Enterprise Value
29.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
10.1885
Price Sales
4.5829
Forward PE
10.1317
Undervalued
Today
19.48
Please note that Ares Capital's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ares Capital is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ares Capital's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Ares Capital is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ares Stock. However, Ares Capital's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  19.48 Real  20.98 Target  22.27 Hype  19.48
The real value of Ares Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Ares Capital Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Ares Capital's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Ares Capital's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
20.98
Real Value
22.21
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ares Capital helps investors to forecast how Ares stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ares Capital more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ares Capital's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.460.480.49
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2519.4820.71
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.2622.2724.72
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Ares Capital's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Ares Capital's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Ares Capital's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Ares Capital we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Ares Capital Cash

669.9 Million

Ares Capital Total Value Analysis

Ares Capital is presently forecasted to have valuation of 29.3 B with market capitalization of 13.99 B, debt of 15.99 B, and cash on hands of 257 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Ares Capital fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
29.3 B
13.99 B
15.99 B
257 M

Ares Capital Investor Information

About 33.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ares Capital last dividend was issued on the 13th of March 2026. Ares Capital may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.50.5759
Fairly Down
Very volatile
Operating Income640.6 M1.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Ares Capital Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ares Capital has an asset utilization ratio of 6.03 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.0603 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ares Capital is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Ares Capital Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration Ares Capital's profitability measurements, Ares Capital's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Ares Capital's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2004-12-31
Previous Quarter
404 M
Current Value
142.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
158.3 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current year's Gross Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.83, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 735.6 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.830.6294
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.50.6102
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Operating Profit Margin0.50.5759
Fairly Down
Very volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.520.6601
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Assets0.04150.0368
Moderately Up
Pretty Stable
Return On Equity0.07430.0802
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
For Ares Capital profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Ares Capital to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Ares Capital utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Ares Capital's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Ares Capital over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Ares Capital Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Ares Capital is estimated to be 0.4828 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.46 to a high of 0.49. Ares Capital's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.88. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Ares Capital is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Ares Capital is projected to generate 0.4828 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2026. Ares Capital earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Ares Capital EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Ares Capital's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Ares Capital, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Ares Capital Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Ares Capital's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Ares Capital is estimated to be 0.4828 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.46 to a high of 0.49. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Ares Capital is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.46
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.4828
0.49
Highest

Ares Capital Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Ares Capital's value are higher than the current market price of the Ares Capital stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Ares Capital is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Ares Capital's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1493.54%
0.0
0.4828
1.88

Ares Capital Ownership Allocation

Ares Capital holds a total of 718.02 Million outstanding shares. 30% of Ares Capital outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. On October 7, 2025, Senator John Fetterman of US Senate acquired under $15k worth of Ares Capital's common stock.

Ares Capital Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.88 B. Net Income was 1.42 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.05 B.

Ares Capital Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Ares Capital's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Ares Capital and how it compares across the competition.

About Ares Capital Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Ares Capital's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ares Capital. We calculate exposure to Ares Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ares Capital's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.2 B735.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.66  0.52 
Operating Profit Margin 0.58  0.50 
Net Profit Margin 0.61  0.50 
Gross Profit Margin 0.63  0.83 
Ares Capital's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Ares Capital's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Ares Capital can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Ares Capital represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Ares, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Ares Capital Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividends Paid is expected to grow to about (254.6 M). In addition to that, Dividend Yield is expected to decline to 0.02. At present, Ares Capital's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-268 M-254.6 M
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.23  0.22 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio(6.41)(6.73)
There are various types of dividends Ares Capital can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Ares shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Ares Capital directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Ares pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Ares Capital by the value of the dividends paid out.

Ares Capital Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding699 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.249
Forward Price Earnings10.1317

Ares Capital Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Ares Capital and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Ares we look at many different elements of the entity such as Ares's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Ares Capital, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Ares Capital's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Ares Capital's worth.

Complementary Tools for Ares Stock analysis

When running Ares Capital's price analysis, check to measure Ares Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ares Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Ares Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ares Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ares Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ares Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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